Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Pre Market Report 08-Apr-2008

The market may drift lower tracking subdued-to-weak trend in Asian equities which fell as news a possible capital injection at the largest US savings and loan company Washington Mutual Inc failed to eliminate concerns about more bank writedowns. The key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan were down by between 0.4% to 1.3%.

US stocks were little changed on Monday, 7 April 2008, as rising oil prices stoked fears that corporate profits will suffer, overshadowing optimism the credit crisis is easing on news that Washington Mutual Inc was close to securing a $5 billion investment.

At home, the next major trigger for the market is Q4 March 2008 results of India Inc. Analysts will be closely watching what the company managements have to say about the outlook for the year ending March 2009 (FY 2009). Analysts will also scrutinize disclosures that companies may make regarding foreign exchange derivatives products that they have bought on the advice of their bankers. A steep decline in the value of the US dollar against the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc hit Indian corporates which have used these two currencies (Yen and Franc) extensively to swap their rupee denominated debt.

As regards Q4 March 2008 results, Morgan Stanley expects 23% growth in net earnings of 104 out of 108 firms in its Indian coverage universe in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Good results are expected from the telecom sector on the back of strong growth in new subscribers additions. Infrastructure and engineering firms, too, are seen reporting decent numbers in Q4 March 2008 on the back of healthy order book positions. The performance of auto firms is likely to be sluggish due to muted volume growth and rise in input costs.

A depreciation of the rupee against the dollar is likely to drive good results from the IT sector on a sequential basis in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007, though the focus here is on guidance for the year ending March 2009 from IT bellwether Infosys Technologies. Infosys guidance will give investors a sense of the effect of the weakening US economy on technology spending by companies there.

Sensex jumped 413.96 points or 2.7% at 15,757.08 on Monday, 7 April 2008, on positive cues from the Asian markets.

As per provisional data, foreign funds bought shares worth a net Rs 346.04 crore on Monday, 7 April 2008. Domestic funds bought shares worth a net Rs 245.93 crore on that day.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers of Rs 413.84 crore in the futures & options segment on Monday. According to data released by the NSE, FIIs were net buyers of index futures to the tune of Rs 293.33 crore and bought index options worth Rs 102.55 crore. They were net buyers of stock futures to the tune of Rs 18.17 crore and sold stock options worth Rs 0.21 crore.

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