Saturday, March 8, 2008

Indian Market outlook


We had a very crucial support at 4800. Now after breaking it yesterday we headed towards more south side. We suspect it to make more lows now. Immediate next support will be 4450 which it made in the Jan 2008
Friday’s Market
A surge in inflation, weak global cues and political concerns dampened the investor sentiments today as share prices declined sharply. All the sectorial indices on BSE were in the red. Reliance Energy was the biggest loser from the Sensex pack. Banking stocks tumbled. European markets, which opened after Indian market, were weak. The 30-share BSE Sensex plunged 566.56 points or 3.42% at
15,975.52, its lowest closing since 18 September 2007. The index had shaved off 852.16 points at the session's low of 15,689.92, hit in afternoon trade.The broader CNX S&P Nifty was down 149.80 points or 3.04% at 4771.60.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

World Market Watch

World Market Watch @8:20 on 4th March 2008
Exchange Last Change
Dow * 12258.90 -7.48
Nasdaq 2258.60 -12.88
S & P 500 1331.34 0.71
MerVal 2136.79 -25.41
Bovespa 64490.39 1001.09
TSX 13544.38 -38.31
IPC 29526.69 608.18
AEX 441.48 -5.05
FTSE 100 5818.60 -65.70
DAX 6689.95 -58.18
CAC 40 4742.66 -48
Nikkei 13086.66 94.48
Hang Seng 23737.91 152.94
Shanghai 4431.74 -6.52
Straits 2931.89 5.34
Jakarta 2660.90 8.59
NZX 50 3554.36 -29.89
TSEC 8417.75 154.88
Sensex 16677.88 0
Nifty 4953 0

Nifty View

Nifty has supports at 4910/4868/4840/4773/4640 and resistances at 4980/5032/5154/5176/5210. Market will open +ve... Dont keep much open positions. Keep Booking profits

Cals for today

Sell IT stocks like infy. Market might be range bound will find support at 4800. In the Lows u can buy GTL for a target of 422+

Global outlook@8:00AM

Us Market ends flat after the volatile trade
Dow 12,258.90 -7.49 -0.06%

Nasdaq 2,258.60 -12.88 -0.57%

S&P 500 1,331.34 +0.71 +0.05%

Asain Market also volatile but trading in +ve

Nikkei 225 13,086.66 +94.48 +0.73%

Hang Seng 23,713.01 +128.04 +0.54%

Straits Times 2,931.95 +5.40 +0.18%

Us markets Gain from lows

Some good news.. Market recovers from the lows
Dow 12,241.56 -24.83 -0.20%
Nasdaq 2,264.69 -6.79 -0.30%
S&P 500 1,330.89 +0.26 +0.02%
If US markets closes in green then we may see some consolidation and then a upside tomorrow, else one more crash might be there..

Sensex Crashes 901 points

The BSE Sensex tumbled 900.84 points or 5.12% to 16,677.88registering its second biggest single day point loss on a closingbasis. It was also Sensex's second biggest single day fall inpercentage terms. BSE Sensex's fall of 1,408.35 points or 7.41% to17,605.35 on 21 January 2008 is its biggest ever fall in record
The BSE Mid-Cap index was down 4.11% at 7,364.85, while the BSESmall-Cap was down 4.05% at 9,238.35. Both these indicesoutperformed the Sensex.
The market breadth was poor: on BSE, 396 advanced as compared to2330 that declined. 40 stocks remained unchanged.
BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 5090 crore as against Rs 6,721.65crore on Friday, 29 February 2008.
Nifty March 2008 futures were at 4882, a discount of 71 points ascompared to spot closing of 4953.
India's largest private sector firm by market capitalization andoil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 6.24% to Rs 2304.75.
The BSE Bankex fell 6.72% to 9,434.44. It underperformed theSensex. ICICI Bank (down 6.10% at Rs 1,024.45), State Bank of India(down 8.83% at Rs 1,923.40), Punjab National Bank (down 9.65% at Rs545.85), Kotak Mahindra Bank (down 9.07% at 728.70), Bank of India(8.48% at Rs 329.05) and Axis Bank (down 7.70% at Rs 940.30),declined.
The BSE Power index fell 6.35% to 3,437.75. It underperformed theSensex. Suzlon Energy (down 10.40% at Rs 252.05), Tata Power (down6.78% at Rs 1,306.05), CESC (down 6.17% at Rs 500.55), RelianceEnergy (down 5.24% at Rs 1,485.55), Torrent Power (down 5.17% at Rs140.35) and Reliance Power (down 4.32% at Rs 412), slipped.
The BSE Realty index fell 6.39% to 8,953.95. It underperformed theSensex. DLF (down 8.44% at Rs 714.70), Parsvnath Developers (down6.27% at Rs 251.85), Ansal Properties & Infrastructure (down 6.22%at Rs 202), Housing Development & Infrastructure (down 5.97% at Rs805.20), Mahindra Lifespace Developers (down 5.92% at Rs 536.70),Indiabulls Real Estate (down 5.78% at Rs 596.25) and Unitech (down5.50% at Rs 339.50), skid.
Auto stocks, which bucked the weak sentiments in early trades, soondipped into red in the later half of trading session. The BSE Autoindex fell 0.80% to 4,848.05. It outperformed the Sensex. Escorts(down 2.63% at Rs 103.55), TVS Motor (down 2.40% at Rs 42.65),Ashok Leyland (down 1.74% at Rs 36.80), Mahindra & Mahindra (down1.23% at Rs 684.25), Bajaj Auto (down 1.08% at Rs 2,255.50) andTata Motors (down 1.01% at Rs 693.15), dipped.
However, Hero Honda Motors (up 1.26% at Rs 774.10) and MarutiSuzuki (up 0.82% at Rs 874.30), rose. The auto stocks were indemand as cut in excise duties in the Union Budget raisedexpectation of pick up in sales in coming months.
Among the side counters, India Infoline (down 10.81% at Rs 996.25),Indiabulls Financial Services (down 10.78% at Rs 548.80), RelianceCapital (down 10.29% at Rs 1,631.10), Adlabs Films (down 9.66% atRs 757.90) and Steel Authority of India (down 9.65% at Rs 230.80),declined.
Essar Oil clocked the highest turnover of Rs 257.71 crore on BSE.Reliance Petroleum (Rs 237.78 crore), Onmobile Global (Rs 234.85crore), Reliance Industries (Rs 230.46 crore) and Reliance Capital(Rs 208.06 crore), were the other turnover toppers on BSE in thatorder.
Reliance Petroleum recorded the highest volume of 1.41 crore shareson BSE. Reliance Natural Resources (1.21 crore shares), IFCI (1.09crore shares), Essar Oil (1.01 crroe shares) and NagarjunaFertilisers and Chemicals (99.69 lakh shares), were the othervolume toppers on BSE in that order.
The key benchmark indices witnessed an unabated selling pressureacross sectors, mirroring weakness in the global stock markets. 26out of 30 stocks from the Sensex pack were in the red. Even themid-and small-cap stocks tumbled, as reflected in the poor marketbreadth.

US & Europe Markets are in RED

More -ve news.. US Markets open in Red

Dow 12,219.25 -47.14 -0.38%

Nasdaq 2,266.87 -4.61 -0.20%

S&P 500 1,326.68 -3.95 -0.30%

Europe market trading in red

FTSE 100 5,826.00 -58.30 -0.99%

DAX 6,658.33 -89.80 -1.33%

CAC 40 4,722.10 -68.56 -1.43%

Monday, March 3, 2008

Sun Outage - Change in market timings

The Exchange has decided to change the market timings for both cash and derivatives markets during the period, March 04, 2008 to March 18, 2008 due to Sun Outage.
The revised timings will be -
Market Open : 09.55 a.m.
Market will remain close : 11.45 a.m. to 12.25 p.m.
Market re-open : 12.30 p.m.
Market Close : 04.15 p.m.
Market Post Close : 04.35 p.m. to 04.45 p.m.

Stocks to watch out..

Short March nifty as it opens.. It will open atlease 100+ points to 200 points
Short IT bags like Infosys, Wipro. Infy target 1500--,
Short Capital market and Reality shares like Relience Capital, India bulls
All short with strict SL

Markets to open deep in RED

Both NSE and BSE to open in atleast 2% down. Mainly Auto, It wil get hit. todays strategy is Short at opening.. Market might recover a bit in late trade..
Asian Market update:
After US market to correct more than 2% now its Asian markets term to slip the Radar. All indices are down more than 3%
Nikkei 225
13,062.92 -540.10 -3.97%
Straits Times
2,935.34 -91.11 -3.01%

Hang Seng not yet open.. It wil also open gap down..