In 1995, whenFord Motor Co. entered the Indian market, two of India’s top three car makers today— Hyundai Motor Co.‘s local unit and homebred Tata Motors Ltd, then a truck maker—had not even started making cars in India. On the face of it, the company had everything going: a global brand name not unfamiliar to many Indians and a reliable joint venture partner, Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd.
Today, Hyundai Motor India Ltd, which launched the Santro in 1998, and Tata Motors that started accepting bookings for its Indica model in January 1999, are safely ensconced in the second and third spot in the India car hustings. Ford, meanwhile, finds itself in sixth place, behind its counterpart General Motors Corp., with a 2.1% market share.
Ford is trying hard to change that.
With recent events in the US—where Ford together with General Motors Corp. (GM) and Chrysler Llc. is seeking government bailouts—India may not figure on its Michigan, US-based parent’s to-do list but Ford India is still pushing ahead with its ambitious $500 million, or Rs2,390 crore, investments in India, restructuring operations and recasting its product portfolio.
“We’re a cash-positive business,” says Michael Boneham, president and managing director of Ford India Pvt. Ltd. He also points out that unlike GM and Chrysler, Ford is not facing a short-term liquidity issue.
On the initial years of Ford in India, John Parker, who was the first chief executive of the joint venture Mahindra Ford India Ltd, says, “One of the key issues we had then was a corporate product plan that was not ideally suited to India. We didn’t have, in our armoury, those small car products that were going to drive us into India.” Based in Thailand, Parker is now Ford’s executive vice- president for Asia and Africa.
Ford India, Parker says, has now been integrated into the global decision-making structure. This is unlike in the 1990s when plans were made separately for each region and India was mostly seen as a sleepy backwater.
As car markets in America, Europe and Japan slow significantly, all car makers are increasingly pinning their hopes on the developing world to ride them out of the slump. Car sales in America saw a 37% monthly drop in November. Europe and Japan fared only a little better. As a result, China, Russia, India and to a lesser extent Brazil are seen as key to reviving their flagging fortunes.
In India, Ford plans to shift gears and aims to grow at a much faster clip. The company has committed $500 million worth of investments in its Indian operations and plans to launch a small car in 2010 and drive into this fast growing segment.
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Nikkei rises 2.0 pct after big Fed rate cut
The benchmark Nikkei average .N225 rose 2.0 percent to 8,741.24 in early trade on Wednesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve slashed borrowing costs to a record low the previous day.
The broader Topix index .TOPX climbed 1.9 percent to 844.77. (Reporting by Rika Otsuka)
The broader Topix index .TOPX climbed 1.9 percent to 844.77. (Reporting by Rika Otsuka)
US Stocks surge as Fed pledges broad economic support
A surprised Wall Street bolted higher Tuesday after the Federal Reserve's historic decision to further slash interest rates and provide broad support to revive the troubled economy.
The Dow Jones industrials surged 360 points, or 4.2 percent, and broader indexes jumped more than 5 percent after the central bank said it will use "all available tools" to jump-start the economy. It also set its target for the rate at which banks lend to each other to a range of zero to 0.25 percent, the lowest level on record.
Demand for long-term government bonds increased and pushed yields to record lows.
The promise of further government action and a Swiss-army-knife approach for mending the economy damped concerns that policymakers were running low on tools to fan the economy by further lowering interest rates.
The idea that the Fed will likely proceed with plans to snap up government and mortgage debt made it easier for investors to place bets that the central bank will do what is necessary to help bring an end to the longest recession in a quarter-century.
"Today was a reminder that the Fed was on the case," said Jim McDonald, director of equity research at Northern Trust in Chicago. "It was a reaffirmation of their willingness to be very aggressive."
"What we heard today was not revolutionarily different but it was a reminder that they are committed to using their balance sheet to the fullest extent to repair the financial markets and stimulate the economy."
The Fed's unprecedented move to lower its fed funds target rate to a range of zero to 0.25 percent rather than a fixed point was a surprise. The move is an acknowledgment that rates in the marketplace had been well below the Fed's 1 percent target, which it set at its previous meeting on Oct. 29. The central bank also cut the lending rate for loans directly to banks.
Many analysts had expected the Fed would cut its fed funds rate to 0.5 percent from 1 percent.
"In some senses the whole point of this meeting was to say 'Quit watching interest rates, watch the other things that we can and will do,'" said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank in Cleveland.
Jack A. Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank, said the fact that the Fed targeted a range for its fed fund rate indicates that policy makers did not want to bring the rate all the way to zero. Such a move could have had problematic implications for money market funds, whose fees could then outpace yields.
The Dow rose 359.61, or 4.20 percent, to 8,924.14 after having been up about 100 in subdued trading ahead of the Fed's announcement.
Broader stock indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 44.61, or 5.14 percent, to 913.18, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 81.55, or 5.41 percent, to 1,589.89.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 30.28, or 6.69 percent, to 482.85.
The number of stocks advancing outnumbered those declining by 5-to-1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.81 billion shares, up from 4.37 billion on Monday.
Demand for government bonds surged. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.27 percent from 2.53 percent late Monday. The yield on the 30-year fell to 2.78 percent from 2.99 percent late Monday.
The yield on the three-month T-bill -- whose yield has at times gone negative due to frenzied buying -- was at 0.02, flat with late Monday.
The dollar was mostly lower against other major currencies, particularly the euro. Gold prices rose.
Light, sweet crude fell 91 cents to settle at $43.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Battered financial stocks led the market's advance. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reported its first quarterly loss since it went public in 1999, losing $2.29 billion during its fiscal fourth quarter. But investors were apparently relieved that the loss wasn't wider and sent the stock up $9.54, or 14 percent, to $76.
Other financial names jumped. JPMorgan Chase & Co. rose $3.72, or 13 percent, to $32.35, while Wells Fargo & Co. gained $3.71, or 14 percent, to $29.78.
For the gains in stocks to hold, McDonald said the credit markets need to show signs that fear is dissipating.
"The credit markets now need to show some improvement," he said.
Stocks have shown advances since their Nov. 20 low. Trading has been less volatile than it had in the previous three months. In the past 54 trading days, 18 had moves of at least a 5 percent. In the previous 53 years there had been only 17 days with moves greater than 5 percent.
Since Nov. 20, the Dow is up 18.2 percent, the S&P 500 is up 21.4 percent and the Nasdaq is up 20.8 percent.
The rate decision came on a day when investors received two more pieces of evidence on Tuesday that the economy was worsening: The Commerce Department reported a 18.9 percent drop in new home construction in November, while the Labor Department said consumer prices sank by 1.7 percent.
Richard E. Cripps, chief market strategist for Stifel Nicolaus, said the recent string of downbeat economic readings could eventually convince Wall Street that the economy has hit a bottom and could be poised for a modest recovery. In past downturns, the data remain weak long after the economy has began to recover.
"The idea is it's so bad that maybe it doesn't take much to go up from here," he said.
Wall Street remained nervous about the growing list of firms and individual investors affected by investment manager Bernard Madoff, who is accused of scamming investors.
Madoff, former chairman of the Nasdaq stock market, was arrested Thursday in what the Securities and Exchange Commission is calling one of the biggest Ponzi schemes on record. Investors of all sizes -- from major banks to small charities -- may record losses of more than $50 billion. Firms invested in his fund include such major European banks as HSBC Holdings PLC, Banco Santander, BNP Paribas, and Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC.
Markets overseas were mixed. Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.12 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 0.55 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.74 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.61 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 2.07 percent.
The Dow Jones industrials surged 360 points, or 4.2 percent, and broader indexes jumped more than 5 percent after the central bank said it will use "all available tools" to jump-start the economy. It also set its target for the rate at which banks lend to each other to a range of zero to 0.25 percent, the lowest level on record.
Demand for long-term government bonds increased and pushed yields to record lows.
The promise of further government action and a Swiss-army-knife approach for mending the economy damped concerns that policymakers were running low on tools to fan the economy by further lowering interest rates.
The idea that the Fed will likely proceed with plans to snap up government and mortgage debt made it easier for investors to place bets that the central bank will do what is necessary to help bring an end to the longest recession in a quarter-century.
"Today was a reminder that the Fed was on the case," said Jim McDonald, director of equity research at Northern Trust in Chicago. "It was a reaffirmation of their willingness to be very aggressive."
"What we heard today was not revolutionarily different but it was a reminder that they are committed to using their balance sheet to the fullest extent to repair the financial markets and stimulate the economy."
The Fed's unprecedented move to lower its fed funds target rate to a range of zero to 0.25 percent rather than a fixed point was a surprise. The move is an acknowledgment that rates in the marketplace had been well below the Fed's 1 percent target, which it set at its previous meeting on Oct. 29. The central bank also cut the lending rate for loans directly to banks.
Many analysts had expected the Fed would cut its fed funds rate to 0.5 percent from 1 percent.
"In some senses the whole point of this meeting was to say 'Quit watching interest rates, watch the other things that we can and will do,'" said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank in Cleveland.
Jack A. Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank, said the fact that the Fed targeted a range for its fed fund rate indicates that policy makers did not want to bring the rate all the way to zero. Such a move could have had problematic implications for money market funds, whose fees could then outpace yields.
The Dow rose 359.61, or 4.20 percent, to 8,924.14 after having been up about 100 in subdued trading ahead of the Fed's announcement.
Broader stock indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 44.61, or 5.14 percent, to 913.18, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 81.55, or 5.41 percent, to 1,589.89.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 30.28, or 6.69 percent, to 482.85.
The number of stocks advancing outnumbered those declining by 5-to-1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.81 billion shares, up from 4.37 billion on Monday.
Demand for government bonds surged. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.27 percent from 2.53 percent late Monday. The yield on the 30-year fell to 2.78 percent from 2.99 percent late Monday.
The yield on the three-month T-bill -- whose yield has at times gone negative due to frenzied buying -- was at 0.02, flat with late Monday.
The dollar was mostly lower against other major currencies, particularly the euro. Gold prices rose.
Light, sweet crude fell 91 cents to settle at $43.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Battered financial stocks led the market's advance. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reported its first quarterly loss since it went public in 1999, losing $2.29 billion during its fiscal fourth quarter. But investors were apparently relieved that the loss wasn't wider and sent the stock up $9.54, or 14 percent, to $76.
Other financial names jumped. JPMorgan Chase & Co. rose $3.72, or 13 percent, to $32.35, while Wells Fargo & Co. gained $3.71, or 14 percent, to $29.78.
For the gains in stocks to hold, McDonald said the credit markets need to show signs that fear is dissipating.
"The credit markets now need to show some improvement," he said.
Stocks have shown advances since their Nov. 20 low. Trading has been less volatile than it had in the previous three months. In the past 54 trading days, 18 had moves of at least a 5 percent. In the previous 53 years there had been only 17 days with moves greater than 5 percent.
Since Nov. 20, the Dow is up 18.2 percent, the S&P 500 is up 21.4 percent and the Nasdaq is up 20.8 percent.
The rate decision came on a day when investors received two more pieces of evidence on Tuesday that the economy was worsening: The Commerce Department reported a 18.9 percent drop in new home construction in November, while the Labor Department said consumer prices sank by 1.7 percent.
Richard E. Cripps, chief market strategist for Stifel Nicolaus, said the recent string of downbeat economic readings could eventually convince Wall Street that the economy has hit a bottom and could be poised for a modest recovery. In past downturns, the data remain weak long after the economy has began to recover.
"The idea is it's so bad that maybe it doesn't take much to go up from here," he said.
Wall Street remained nervous about the growing list of firms and individual investors affected by investment manager Bernard Madoff, who is accused of scamming investors.
Madoff, former chairman of the Nasdaq stock market, was arrested Thursday in what the Securities and Exchange Commission is calling one of the biggest Ponzi schemes on record. Investors of all sizes -- from major banks to small charities -- may record losses of more than $50 billion. Firms invested in his fund include such major European banks as HSBC Holdings PLC, Banco Santander, BNP Paribas, and Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC.
Markets overseas were mixed. Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.12 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 0.55 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.74 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.61 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 2.07 percent.
Fed reduces benchmark rate to as low as zero
The Federal Reserve, urgently rewriting its playbook to fight a deepening recession, cut its benchmark interest rate to as low as zero Tuesday, a surprisingly strong step that should make it cheaper for Americans to borrow on credit cards and pay their mortgages.
Wells Fargo, Wachovia and U.S. Bancorp immediately lowered their prime lending rates from 4 percent to 3.25 percent, and other banks will probably follow suit. Economists cautioned, though, that people frightened by the economy and worried about their own jobs may not feel like taking on more debt.
The Fed's action was unprecedented in the central bank's 95-year history, and Wall Street embraced it. The Dow Jones industrials, which had been up about 120 points ahead of the Fed announcement, finished the day up nearly 360, a gain of more than 4 percent.
For the first time, the Fed created a target range for its funds rate, putting it at zero to 0.25 percent. That was a dramatic reduction from the previous rate, which was an already low 1 percent. The federal funds rate is the interest that banks charge each other for overnight loans.
The radical action underscores the breathtaking deterioration in the U.S. economy and the stability of the financial system this fall, and even since Fed policymakers last gathered in late October.
For years, cutting the funds rate had been the Fed's most potent weapon for snapping an economy out of trouble. But the recession, which economists say began a year ago, seems to be worsening despite all the steps taken so far.
The move "will go down in the annals of Fed history," declared Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital. "I nominate this one to be called the `Who Could Ask for Anything More?' statement. The Fed is throwing everything in its arsenal."
There was fresh evidence of the economic danger Tuesday before the Fed announcement. Housing starts for November plunged by almost 19 percent, the most in a quarter-century.
And consumer prices fell by a record 1.7 percent in November, the second straight monthly decline, raising fears the nation is in a dangerous bout of deflation -- a widespread, prolonged decline in prices that would take a bite out of personal income and corporate profits and do further damage to the already pummeled housing market. The Fed's lower rates could help prevent deflation from taking hold.
At the heart of the economic crisis are credit and financial problems that have made worried banks reluctant to lend to customers -- regardless of how cheap money has become.
At the same time, fearful Americans, watching jobs evaporate and their investments crumble, have sharply cut back on spending, including on big-ticket purchases such as homes and cars that typically require financing.
The Fed hopes lower borrowing costs will entice people and businesses to spend more, helping the economy. Citing "weak economic conditions," the Fed said it expected to keep its funds rate at "exceptionally low levels ... for some time."
The bold move on rates surprised not just Wall Street investors but also economists, most of whom were predicting the Fed would cut its funds rate in half, to 0.5 percent.
With the Fed's key rate sinking to near zero, the central bank moved into uncharted territory. Still, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues insisted the central bank isn't running out of ammunition to fight the crisis.
"The Fed will employ all available tools to promote the resumption of sustainable economic growth," the Fed said.
It said, for example, that it is weighing the benefits of buying longer-term Treasury securities on the open market in substantial quantities. Doing so might lower rates on those securities and help energize the economy.
The Fed also cited a program it announced late last month to buy $600 billion in debt and mortgage-backed securities from mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That has already helped push mortgage rates down.
And early next year the Fed, in another previously announced program, plans to roll out a $200 billion program to boost the availability of auto loans, student loans, credit card loans and other lending to consumers.
The Fed's statement provided a far more gloomy assessment of the economy than the central bank made after its October meeting, citing deterioration in the labor market, consumer spending, business investment and industrial production.
"It is a reflection of an utterly desolate economic picture, which will persist for the foreseeable future," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at High Frequency Economics.
Even Goldman Sachs Group, reported a loss Tuesday for the first time since it went public in 1999 -- $2.3 billion for the quarter. Investors bought up stock in the company anyway.
And rates on 30-year Treasury bonds have dipped to a record low as investors look for a safe place to park their money. Yields on shorter-term Treasury bills even dipped into negative territory for a time last week.
Since the start of the recession, the economy has shed nearly 2 million jobs. Analysts predict 3 million more will be lost between now and the spring of 2010. The recession is shaping up to be the longest since the Great Depression.
President-elect Barack Obama is pushing an economic recovery plan that includes spending on big public works projects to create jobs, in addition to an economic stimulus package aimed at getting people to spend more money.
Obama met said Tuesday other branches of government should to "step up" because the Fed is "running out of the traditional ammunition" in the form of rate reductions.
For consumers, the Fed move essentially means money is now on sale. Experts predict mortgage rates will fall to 5 percent or lower and home equity loans will get cheaper. The result could be billions of additional dollars in Americans' pockets.
Even for people who have been laid off, credit card defaults will be less likely "because interest rates are at massively historical lows," said Tony Plath, a finance professor at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte.
Still, some economists say there are two problems that lower rates don't address: the reluctance of people worried about their jobs to take on more debt, even at low rates, and the unwillingness of banks to lend to some people who do want to borrow.
"When you think about someone giving you a loan, it's not just the rate, it's lenders' expectations of your ability to repay that loan," said John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia. "This is not the environment to go speculating on making loans to people who may be unemployed in two or three weeks."
And even though gas prices have dropped and inflation has ceased to be a worry, "consumers' behavior has changed," said Scott Anderson, senior economist at Wells Fargo. "People aren't spending that windfall, they're saving it."
Wells Fargo, Wachovia and U.S. Bancorp immediately lowered their prime lending rates from 4 percent to 3.25 percent, and other banks will probably follow suit. Economists cautioned, though, that people frightened by the economy and worried about their own jobs may not feel like taking on more debt.
The Fed's action was unprecedented in the central bank's 95-year history, and Wall Street embraced it. The Dow Jones industrials, which had been up about 120 points ahead of the Fed announcement, finished the day up nearly 360, a gain of more than 4 percent.
For the first time, the Fed created a target range for its funds rate, putting it at zero to 0.25 percent. That was a dramatic reduction from the previous rate, which was an already low 1 percent. The federal funds rate is the interest that banks charge each other for overnight loans.
The radical action underscores the breathtaking deterioration in the U.S. economy and the stability of the financial system this fall, and even since Fed policymakers last gathered in late October.
For years, cutting the funds rate had been the Fed's most potent weapon for snapping an economy out of trouble. But the recession, which economists say began a year ago, seems to be worsening despite all the steps taken so far.
The move "will go down in the annals of Fed history," declared Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital. "I nominate this one to be called the `Who Could Ask for Anything More?' statement. The Fed is throwing everything in its arsenal."
There was fresh evidence of the economic danger Tuesday before the Fed announcement. Housing starts for November plunged by almost 19 percent, the most in a quarter-century.
And consumer prices fell by a record 1.7 percent in November, the second straight monthly decline, raising fears the nation is in a dangerous bout of deflation -- a widespread, prolonged decline in prices that would take a bite out of personal income and corporate profits and do further damage to the already pummeled housing market. The Fed's lower rates could help prevent deflation from taking hold.
At the heart of the economic crisis are credit and financial problems that have made worried banks reluctant to lend to customers -- regardless of how cheap money has become.
At the same time, fearful Americans, watching jobs evaporate and their investments crumble, have sharply cut back on spending, including on big-ticket purchases such as homes and cars that typically require financing.
The Fed hopes lower borrowing costs will entice people and businesses to spend more, helping the economy. Citing "weak economic conditions," the Fed said it expected to keep its funds rate at "exceptionally low levels ... for some time."
The bold move on rates surprised not just Wall Street investors but also economists, most of whom were predicting the Fed would cut its funds rate in half, to 0.5 percent.
With the Fed's key rate sinking to near zero, the central bank moved into uncharted territory. Still, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues insisted the central bank isn't running out of ammunition to fight the crisis.
"The Fed will employ all available tools to promote the resumption of sustainable economic growth," the Fed said.
It said, for example, that it is weighing the benefits of buying longer-term Treasury securities on the open market in substantial quantities. Doing so might lower rates on those securities and help energize the economy.
The Fed also cited a program it announced late last month to buy $600 billion in debt and mortgage-backed securities from mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That has already helped push mortgage rates down.
And early next year the Fed, in another previously announced program, plans to roll out a $200 billion program to boost the availability of auto loans, student loans, credit card loans and other lending to consumers.
The Fed's statement provided a far more gloomy assessment of the economy than the central bank made after its October meeting, citing deterioration in the labor market, consumer spending, business investment and industrial production.
"It is a reflection of an utterly desolate economic picture, which will persist for the foreseeable future," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at High Frequency Economics.
Even Goldman Sachs Group, reported a loss Tuesday for the first time since it went public in 1999 -- $2.3 billion for the quarter. Investors bought up stock in the company anyway.
And rates on 30-year Treasury bonds have dipped to a record low as investors look for a safe place to park their money. Yields on shorter-term Treasury bills even dipped into negative territory for a time last week.
Since the start of the recession, the economy has shed nearly 2 million jobs. Analysts predict 3 million more will be lost between now and the spring of 2010. The recession is shaping up to be the longest since the Great Depression.
President-elect Barack Obama is pushing an economic recovery plan that includes spending on big public works projects to create jobs, in addition to an economic stimulus package aimed at getting people to spend more money.
Obama met said Tuesday other branches of government should to "step up" because the Fed is "running out of the traditional ammunition" in the form of rate reductions.
For consumers, the Fed move essentially means money is now on sale. Experts predict mortgage rates will fall to 5 percent or lower and home equity loans will get cheaper. The result could be billions of additional dollars in Americans' pockets.
Even for people who have been laid off, credit card defaults will be less likely "because interest rates are at massively historical lows," said Tony Plath, a finance professor at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte.
Still, some economists say there are two problems that lower rates don't address: the reluctance of people worried about their jobs to take on more debt, even at low rates, and the unwillingness of banks to lend to some people who do want to borrow.
"When you think about someone giving you a loan, it's not just the rate, it's lenders' expectations of your ability to repay that loan," said John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia. "This is not the environment to go speculating on making loans to people who may be unemployed in two or three weeks."
And even though gas prices have dropped and inflation has ceased to be a worry, "consumers' behavior has changed," said Scott Anderson, senior economist at Wells Fargo. "People aren't spending that windfall, they're saving it."
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